FiveThirtyEight

Nate Silver critiques the new 538 forecast model

Statistics, Visualization / election, FiveThirtyEight, forecast, Nate Silver, uncertainty

Nate Silver, who left Disney and the FiveThirtyEight brand last year but took…
FiveThirtyEight layoffs

News / data journalism, FiveThirtyEight, layoffs, Nate Silver

Disney began more layoffs, and data-centric FiveThirtyEight, which is owned by Disney, was…
Congress still getting older

Statistical Visualization / age, Congress, FiveThirtyEight

For FiveThirtyEight, Geoffrey Skelley digs into the ongoing trend:
What’s behind these increasingly…
Hypothetical map that shows how access changes if more states ban abortion

Maps / abortion, ban, FiveThirtyEight

Based on analysis by economics professor Caitlin Myers, FiveThirtyEight provides a hypothetical map…
Apply your daylight saving preferences to the rest of the country

Maps / daylight saving, FiveThirtyEight

We like to complain about changing time an hour back or forward, and…
Abortion restrictions in the U.S. mapped

Maps / abortion, FiveThirtyEight

For FiveThirtyEight, Anna Wiederkehr and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux, with illustrations by Nicole Rifkin, delve…
Past redlining still seen in the present

Maps / FiveThirtyEight, racism, redlining

In the 1930s, a group called the Home Owners’ Loan Corporation went to…
Accuracy of groundhog weather prediction

Statistical Visualization / FiveThirtyEight, Groundhog Day, prediction

For FiveThirtyEight, Simran Parwani and Kaleigh Rogers compared Groundhog Day predictions against actual…
World Chess Championship in charts

Statistical Visualization / chess, FiveThirtyEight, Magnus Carlsen

Magnus Carlsen continued to assert his dominance at the World Chess Championship. FiveThirtyEight…
Why small gatherings can be dangerous too

Infographics / coronavirus, exponential growth, FiveThirtyEight, risk, Thanksgiving

A small gathering of 10 people or fewer can seem like a low-risk…
Testing voting scenarios while we wait for the counts

Infographics / election, FiveThirtyEight, New York Times, possibilities

As we wait for the votes to be counted in the remaining states,…
Comparing correlation in the FiveThirtyEight and Economist election forecasts

Statistical Visualization / Adam Pearce, Economist, election, FiveThirtyEight

FiveThirtyEight and The Economist take similar inputs but output different forecasts. Adam Pearce…
Using the FiveThirtyEight model, see how the election odds shift with different scenarios

Statistics / election, FiveThirtyEight, simulation

With each model update, FiveThirtyEight runs 40,000 simulations, or what-ifs, to calculate the…
Tips for not letting polls and forecasts occupy your mind for two weeks

Statistics / election, FiveThirtyEight, forecast

For FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver provides tips to stay less stressed staring into the…
NBA playoff win probabilities, animated over time

Statistical Visualization / Adam Pearce, basketball, FiveThirtyEight

FiveThirtyEight publishes win probabilities for NBA games throughout the season. During the playoffs,…
How to vote in each state

Infographics / election, FiveThirtyEight, voting

Each state is handling mail-in voting in a certain way with varying timelines…
FiveThirtyEight launches 2020 election forecast

Statistical Visualization / election, FiveThirtyEight, forecast, uncertainty

The election is coming. FiveThirtyEight just launched their forecast with a look at…
Where unemployment benefits are higher than lost wages

Statistical Visualization / coronavirus, FiveThirtyEight, unemployment

Economists at the University of Chicago analyzed unemployment benefits from the CARES act…
Comparing Covid-19 models

Statistics / coronavirus, FiveThirtyEight, modeling

FiveThirtyEight compared six Covid-19 models for a sense of where we might be…
Challenges of making a reliable Covid-19 model

Statistics / coronavirus, FiveThirtyEight, modeling

Fatalities from Covid-19 range from the hundreds of thousands to the millions. Nobody…

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