Ever since the huge forecasting upset in 2016, I’ve tended to stay away…
FiveThirtyEight
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2018 House forecast from FiveThirtyEight
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LeBron James legacy versus championship-winning
LeBron James decides where he takes his talents this summer, and the sports…
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Counting the times Kevin Durant’s shoe came off during games
This is what happens when there is a lull during the basketball playoff…
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Umpire strike zone changes to finish games earlier
When watching baseball on television, we get the benefit of seeing whether a…
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FiveThirtyEight datasets available for download
If you’re looking for some data to play with, FiveThirtyEight just made it…
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Redistricting the congressional map with different goals
FiveThirtyEight asks, “There’s a lot of complaining about gerrymandering, but what should districts…
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Life expectancy by state, against the US average
FiveThirtyEight continues their look at mortality by geography. This graphic by Anna Maria…
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Mapping death in America, 1980 to 2014
Nationwide mortality data relies on death certificates, and when cause of death is…
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Stephen Curry for MVP, because he makes his teammates better the most
The choice for Most Valuable Player in the NBA is only minimally about…
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Trump approval ratings compared to past presidents
Using multiple polls as their source data, FiveThirtyEight is tracking approval and disapproval…
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States most similar to the US overall
“Normal America.” I’m not sure what that means anymore, but at some point…
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Seeking solace in data
I think many of us can relate to this during the odd election…
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Gun deaths
As an introduction to a series on gun deaths in America, FiveThirtyEight uses…
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R in the data journalism workflow at FiveThirtyEight
R has found its way into a good number of news groups who…
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Election forecast tracker
FiveThirtyEight published their election forecast tracker this week, and it’s a beaut. It…
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History of Sumo charted
Sumo has a long history that goes back centuries. Unlike most things that…
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How various demographic groups can change the election result
Does your vote matter? Aaron Bycoffe and David Wasserman for FiveThirtyEight provide an…
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NBA player career projections
Predictions for how NBA players will contribute to their teams, based on their own performance and history.
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Lessons in statistical significance, uncertainty, and their role in science
Science is hard. Statistics is hard. Proving cause and effect is hard.
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Criminal sentencing and a stat lesson on probabilities and uncertainty
Pennsylvania is considering the use of risk assessment — the chances that someone…