xkcd referenced the ever-so-loved forecasting needle. I’m so not gonna look at it…
uncertainty
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xkcd and the needle of probability
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Hotter days where you were born
It’s getting hotter around the world. The New York Times zooms in on…
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Needle of uncertainty
The Upshot has used a needle to show shifts in their live election…
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Visualizing the Uncertainty in Data
Data is an abstraction, and it’s impossible to encapsulate everything it represents in real life. So there is uncertainty. Here are ways to visualize the uncertainty.
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Trolling the uncertainty dial
During the election last year, The New York Times ran an uncertainty dial…
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Showing uncertainty during the live election forecast
During the election, The New York Times showed a live gauge to show…
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Statistics lesson on polling
Nate Cohn for the Upshot provides a statistics lesson in the context of…
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Income Increased
But not every group’s median income increased by the same amount.
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Simulation shows why polls don’t always match future results
With election season in full swing, as far as the news is concerned…
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Super Tuesday simulation to show uncertainty
As we know, there are various outcomes during election season, with uncertainty in…
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Wind prediction and potential power
As we use up current energy resources, it grows more important to look…
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An uncertain spreadsheet for estimates
A lot of data you get are estimates with uncertainty attached. Plus or…
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Lessons in statistical significance, uncertainty, and their role in science
Science is hard. Statistics is hard. Proving cause and effect is hard.
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Criminal sentencing and a stat lesson on probabilities and uncertainty
Pennsylvania is considering the use of risk assessment — the chances that someone…
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Prostitution, GDP, and £1.7 billion due
David Spiegelhalter, professor of public understanding of risk, does some back-of-the-napkin math to…
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How well we don’t understand probability
All Things Considered on NPR ran a fine series on how we interpret…
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Uncertain cartographies
Most people know the layout of their neighborhoods and some are good with…
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Visualizing uncertainty still unsolved problem
Vivien Marx in Nature Methods:
Data from an experiment may appear rock solid.…
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