To visualize uncertainty in election forecasts, Matthew Kay from Northwestern University used a…
uncertainty
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Presidential Plinko
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The Process 108 – Expected Value
Look only at uncertainty and it can feel overwhelming. Look at just averages and it’s not enough information. So, smoosh them together.
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Choose your own election outcome
The election is full of what-ifs, and the result changes depending on which…
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FiveThirtyEight launches 2020 election forecast
The election is coming. FiveThirtyEight just launched their forecast with a look at…
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Understanding Covid-19 statistics
For ProPublica, Caroline Chen, with graphics by Ash Ngu, provides a guide on…
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How experts use disease modeling to help inform policymakers
Harry Stevens and John Muyskens for The Washington Post put you in the…
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Not making Covid-19 charts
Will Chase, who specialized in visualization for epidemiological studies in grad school, outlined…
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Possible coronavirus deaths compared against other causes
Based on estimates from public health researcher James Lawler, The Upshot shows the…
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All data is wrong
Vicki Boykis riffing off the George Box quote, “All models are wrong, some…
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Uncertain – The Process 079
These past few weeks, and especially this one, has been full of uncertainty. Probabilities, odds, and rates. In this issue of The Process we talk about ways to visualize this uncertainty.
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Super Tuesday simulator
With Super Tuesday on the way, there’s still a lot of uncertainty for…
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Statistical uncertainty as certainty
Mark Rober, who is having a good run of science and engineering videos…
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Useful and not so useful Statistics
Hannah Fry, for The New Yorker, describes the puzzle of Statistics to analyze…
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Gallery of uncertainty visualization methods
It must be uncertainty month and nobody told me. For Scientific American, Jessica…
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What that hurricane map means
For The New York Times, Alberto Cairo and Tala Schlossberg explain the cone…
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xkcd and the needle of probability
xkcd referenced the ever-so-loved forecasting needle. I’m so not gonna look at it…
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Hotter days where you were born
It’s getting hotter around the world. The New York Times zooms in on…
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Needle of uncertainty
The Upshot has used a needle to show shifts in their live election…
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Visualizing the Uncertainty in Data
Data is an abstraction, and it’s impossible to encapsulate everything it represents in real life. So there is uncertainty. Here are ways to visualize the uncertainty.
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Trolling the uncertainty dial
During the election last year, The New York Times ran an uncertainty dial…
