uncertainty

Misidentified by facial recognition and arrested

Mistaken Data / Action News Jax, crime, ethics, facial recognition, uncertainty

In Jacksonville, Florida, police arrested a man because AI facial recognition classified his…
FEMA flood risk vs. more comprehensive estimates for Camp Mystic

Statistics / Camp Mystic, FEMA, flood, NPR, risk, uncertainty

Risk estimates change by statistical model and what that model accounts for. The…
Illustrated guide to card counting and investing

Infographics / blackjack, Bloomberg, Boaz Weinstein, comic, uncertainty

The internet continues to feed my compulsion to click on anything that mentions…
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Partial Data Reflections

The Process / government, uncertainty

This week, I have a new tutorial for you and then we get into using data with baggage.
Probability does not exist

Statistics / David Spiegelhalter, probability, uncertainty

Probability itself is an expression of uncertainty, but the calculations behind the percentages…
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Random Everyday Walk

The Process / random, uncertainty

This week we talk randomness in the everyday.
50/50 Spins

Data Underload / chance, probability, uncertainty

For no particular reason on this particular day, here are spinners to try your hand at random everyday things with even odds. Good luck.
Presidential election still a toss-up

Statistics / election, Nate Silver, probability, uncertainty

You’re probably going to see election forecasts more this month, and one candidate…
Election of random chance

Statistics / election, gambling, New Yorker, random, uncertainty

For The New Yorker, Jay Caspian Kang relates the election’s unwavering randomness to…
Hurricane Watch

The Process / hurricane, possibilities, uncertainty

Given the topic and situation in Florida, I’m making this issue public. Hurricane Milton is en route.
Hurricane Milton potential threats

Maps / Bloomberg, flood, hurricane, uncertainty

Hurricane Milton continues towards Florida, estimated to make landfall on October 9, 2024…
Statistical challenges of measuring immigration

Statistics / estimation, immigration, Jed Kolko, Slow Boring, uncertainty

Jed Kolko, the former Under Secretary of Commerce for Economic Affairs of the…
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Mapping Course Updates; When the Data Speaks But Doesn’t Have Much to Say

The Process / missing, uncertainty

It’s easy to look at data and assume truthiness. Numbers! Facts! Concreteness! A lot of the time that’s just not the case.
Uncertain risk behind climate change models

Maps / Bloomberg, climate change, risk, uncertainty

To demonstrate the level of uncertainty in using climate forecasting models, Bloomberg compared…
Two kinds of bar charts

Statistical Visualization / aggregate, counting, Michael Correll, uncertainty

Michael Correll describes two kinds of bar charts in the world. The first…
Nate Silver critiques the new 538 forecast model

Statistics, Visualization / election, FiveThirtyEight, forecast, Nate Silver, uncertainty

Nate Silver, who left Disney and the FiveThirtyEight brand last year but took…
Accuracy of temperature forecasts where you live

Maps / accuracy, forecast, uncertainty, Washington Post, weather

You’ve probably noticed that the weather forecast can change a lot for predictions…
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Games to Explore Data and Possibilities

The Process / games, uncertainty

Visualization and analysis is usually about minimizing uncertainty to more clearly see patterns. On the other hand, games force you to play through uncertainty.
Probabilistic Tic-Tac-Toe

Statistics / Cameron Sun, game, probability, uncertainty

Thinking about life and randomness, Cameron Sun modified the classic game of Tic-Tac-Toe.…
Mapping hurricane winds with avocado of uncertainty

Maps / Stamen, uncertainty, wind

Stamen, whose design breakdowns I always appreciate, discusses why they took a different…

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