Statisticians David Spiegelhalter and Anthony Masters for The Guardian on reframing risk estimates:…
risk
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Communicating effectiveness of boosters
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Visualizing risk of Johnson & Johnson vaccine side effect
As the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pauses in the United States, Philip Bump…
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Why small gatherings can be dangerous too
A small gathering of 10 people or fewer can seem like a low-risk…
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Estimate your Covid-19 risk, given location and activities
The microCOVID Project provides a calculator that lets you put in where you…
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Illustrations show how to reduce risk at small gatherings
Risk of coronavirus infection changes depending on the amount of contagious particles you…
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The Process 108 – Expected Value
Look only at uncertainty and it can feel overwhelming. Look at just averages and it’s not enough information. So, smoosh them together.
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Minimizing risk
For NYT Opinion, Aaron E. Carroll on doing small things that sum to…
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One Drink Per Day, Your Chances of Developing an Alcohol-Related Condition
While a drink a day might increase your risk of experiencing an alcohol-related condition, the change is low in absolute numbers.
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Weighing the risk of moderate alcohol consumption
A research study on mortality and alcohol consumption is making the rounds. Its…
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Understanding risk – play it safe or eat a bacon sandwich?
David Spiegelhalter is a Professor of the Public Understanding of Risk at Cambridge…
