# probability

• ## Crows might understand probabilities

Researchers at the University of Tübingen are studying crows’ abilities to understand statistical…

• ## Changes to Blackjack payouts so that gamblers lose more to casinos

Katherine Sayre, for The Wall Street Journal, on Las Vegas casinos squeezing out…

• ## Impossible or improbable lottery results

There was a government-run lottery in the Philippines with a \$4 million jackpot,…

• ## Introduction to Probability for Data Science, a free book

Introduction to Probability for Data Science is a free-to-download book by Purdue statistics…

• ## Odds of winning the big Mega Millions prize

With tonight’s Mega Millions jackpot estimated at \$1.28 billion, you might be wondering…

• ## Calculating win probabilities

Zack Capozzi, for USA Lacrosse Magazine, explains how he calculates win probabilities pre-game…

• ## Looking for similar NBA games, based on win probability time series

Inpredictable, a sports analytics site by Michael Beuoy, tracks win probabilities of NBA…

• ## Probability you will break up with your partner

Rosenfeld, et al. from Stanford University ran a survey in 2009 for a…

• ## Chances it’s a Friend’s Birthday Every Single Day of the Year

If it seems like every day you log in to Facebook, it’s someone’s birthday, you’re probably not that far off.

• ## What That Election Probability Means

You’re going to see probability values mentioned a lot these next few months. Many people will misinterpret. But not you.

• ## Nearly impossible to predict mass shootings with current data

Even if there were a statistical model that predicted a mass shooter with…

• ## What probability means in different fields

Statistically, probability ranges from 0 to 1 — impossible to definitely without a…

• ## The Price is Right winner and cancer survivor calculates the odds

Elisa Long, a professor in Decisions, Operations, and Technology Management at the University…

• ## How well we don’t understand probability

All Things Considered on NPR ran a fine series on how we interpret…

• ## A visual explanation of conditional probability

Victor Powell, who has visualized the Central Limit Theorem and Simpson’s Paradox, most…