Zack Capozzi, for USA Lacrosse Magazine, explains how he calculates win probabilities pregame…
probability

Calculating win probabilities

Looking for similar NBA games, based on win probability time series
Inpredictable, a sports analytics site by Michael Beuoy, tracks win probabilities of NBA…

Probability you will break up with your partner
Rosenfeld, et al. from Stanford University ran a survey in 2009 for a…

Chances it’s a Friend’s Birthday Every Single Day of the Year
If it seems like every day you log in to Facebook, it’s someone’s birthday, you’re probably not that far off.

What That Election Probability Means
You’re going to see probability values mentioned a lot these next few months. Many people will misinterpret. But not you.

Nearly impossible to predict mass shootings with current data
Even if there were a statistical model that predicted a mass shooter with…

What probability means in different fields
Statistically, probability ranges from 0 to 1 — impossible to definitely without a…

The Price is Right winner and cancer survivor calculates the odds
Elisa Long, a professor in Decisions, Operations, and Technology Management at the University…

How well we don’t understand probability
All Things Considered on NPR ran a fine series on how we interpret…

A visual explanation of conditional probability
Victor Powell, who has visualized the Central Limit Theorem and Simpson’s Paradox, most…