Nate Silver, who left Disney and the FiveThirtyEight brand last year but took…
uncertainty
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Nate Silver critiques the new 538 forecast model
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Accuracy of temperature forecasts where you live
You’ve probably noticed that the weather forecast can change a lot for predictions…
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Games to Explore Data and Possibilities
Visualization and analysis is usually about minimizing uncertainty to more clearly see patterns. On the other hand, games force you to play through uncertainty.
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Probabilistic Tic-Tac-Toe
Thinking about life and randomness, Cameron Sun modified the classic game of Tic-Tac-Toe.…
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Mapping hurricane winds with avocado of uncertainty
Stamen, whose design breakdowns I always appreciate, discusses why they took a different…
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Range of Possible Answers, Maybe
In Statistics, analysis is more often about finding a range of possible answers than it is about finding a precise one.
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More Noise, Better Signal
Sometimes the noise, something we often try to minimize in data, makes for a better signal.
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Building a happy life, interpreted through data
How to Build a Happy Life from The Atlantic is a podcast on…
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Difficulties reading the cone of uncertainty
It seems that there is always surprise when a hurricane makes landfall in…
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Navigating Through the Uncertainty and Messiness of Data – The Process 179
Connecting back to the real world is how we fill in the gaps.
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Distribution of snowfall estimates to show uncertainty
For NYT’s The Upshot, Aatish Bhatia, Josh Katz and Margot Sanger-Katz show the…
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False positives with prenatal tests for rare conditions
Sarah Kliff and Aatish Bhatia for NYT’s The Upshot look at the uncertainty…
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Job growth was underestimated
Andrew Van Dam for The Washington Post used a bar chart with corrections…
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Writing about probability in a way that people will understand
We see probabilities mentioned in the news, in weather forecasts, during sporting events,…
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How perception can save lives
Visualization and perception researcher Lace Padilla was on the kid-centric show Mission Unstoppale…
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Climate change and uncertainty
In his new data-driven documentary, Neil Halloran digs into the uncertainty attached to…
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Uncertain Words and Uncertain Visualization, Better Together
People’s interpretation of a chart can change if you use differents words to describe it, even if the data stays the same.
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Election needles are back
The NYT election needles of uncertainty are back, and they’re about to go…
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Presidential Plinko
To visualize uncertainty in election forecasts, Matthew Kay from Northwestern University used a…
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The Process 108 – Expected Value
Look only at uncertainty and it can feel overwhelming. Look at just averages and it’s not enough information. So, smoosh them together.