It seems that there is always surprise when a hurricane makes landfall in…
uncertainty
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Difficulties reading the cone of uncertainty
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Navigating Through the Uncertainty and Messiness of Data – The Process 179
Connecting back to the real world is how we fill in the gaps.
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Distribution of snowfall estimates to show uncertainty
For NYT’s The Upshot, Aatish Bhatia, Josh Katz and Margot Sanger-Katz show the…
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False positives with prenatal tests for rare conditions
Sarah Kliff and Aatish Bhatia for NYT’s The Upshot look at the uncertainty…
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Job growth was underestimated
Andrew Van Dam for The Washington Post used a bar chart with corrections…
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Writing about probability in a way that people will understand
We see probabilities mentioned in the news, in weather forecasts, during sporting events,…
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How perception can save lives
Visualization and perception researcher Lace Padilla was on the kid-centric show Mission Unstoppale…
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Climate change and uncertainty
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In his new data-driven documentary, Neil Halloran digs… -
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Uncertain Words and Uncertain Visualization, Better Together
People’s interpretation of a chart can change if you use differents words to describe it, even if the data stays the same.
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Election needles are back
The NYT election needles of uncertainty are back, and they’re about to go…
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Presidential Plinko
To visualize uncertainty in election forecasts, Matthew Kay from Northwestern University used a…
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The Process 108 – Expected Value
Look only at uncertainty and it can feel overwhelming. Look at just averages and it’s not enough information. So, smoosh them together.
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Choose your own election outcome
The election is full of what-ifs, and the result changes depending on which…
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FiveThirtyEight launches 2020 election forecast
The election is coming. FiveThirtyEight just launched their forecast with a look at…
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Understanding Covid-19 statistics
For ProPublica, Caroline Chen, with graphics by Ash Ngu, provides a guide on…
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How experts use disease modeling to help inform policymakers
Harry Stevens and John Muyskens for The Washington Post put you in the…
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Coronavirus testing accuracy
Medical tests do not always provide certain results. Quartz illustrated this with the…
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Not making Covid-19 charts
Will Chase, who specialized in visualization for epidemiological studies in grad school, outlined…
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Possible coronavirus deaths compared against other causes
Based on estimates from public health researcher James Lawler, The Upshot shows the…
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All data is wrong
Vicki Boykis riffing off the George Box quote, “All models are wrong, some…