Probability itself is an expression of uncertainty, but the calculations behind the percentages…
uncertainty
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Probability does not exist
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Random Everyday Walk
This week we talk randomness in the everyday.
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50/50 Spins
For no particular reason on this particular day, here are spinners to try your hand at random everyday things with even odds. Good luck.
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Presidential election still a toss-up
You’re probably going to see election forecasts more this month, and one candidate…
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Election of random chance
For The New Yorker, Jay Caspian Kang relates the election’s unwavering randomness to…
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Hurricane Watch
Given the topic and situation in Florida, I’m making this issue public. Hurricane Milton is en route.
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Hurricane Milton potential threats
Hurricane Milton continues towards Florida, estimated to make landfall on October 9, 2024…
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Statistical challenges of measuring immigration
Jed Kolko, the former Under Secretary of Commerce for Economic Affairs of the…
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Mapping Course Updates; When the Data Speaks But Doesn’t Have Much to Say
It’s easy to look at data and assume truthiness. Numbers! Facts! Concreteness! A lot of the time that’s just not the case.
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Uncertain risk behind climate change models
To demonstrate the level of uncertainty in using climate forecasting models, Bloomberg compared…
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Two kinds of bar charts
Michael Correll describes two kinds of bar charts in the world. The first…
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Nate Silver critiques the new 538 forecast model
Nate Silver, who left Disney and the FiveThirtyEight brand last year but took…
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Accuracy of temperature forecasts where you live
You’ve probably noticed that the weather forecast can change a lot for predictions…
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Games to Explore Data and Possibilities
Visualization and analysis is usually about minimizing uncertainty to more clearly see patterns. On the other hand, games force you to play through uncertainty.
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Probabilistic Tic-Tac-Toe
Thinking about life and randomness, Cameron Sun modified the classic game of Tic-Tac-Toe.…
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Mapping hurricane winds with avocado of uncertainty
Stamen, whose design breakdowns I always appreciate, discusses why they took a different…
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Range of Possible Answers, Maybe
In Statistics, analysis is more often about finding a range of possible answers than it is about finding a precise one.
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More Noise, Better Signal
Sometimes the noise, something we often try to minimize in data, makes for a better signal.
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Building a happy life, interpreted through data
How to Build a Happy Life from The Atlantic is a podcast on…
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Difficulties reading the cone of uncertainty
It seems that there is always surprise when a hurricane makes landfall in…