uncertainty

Real polling asks real people, unlike synthetic sampling

Statistics / G. Elliott Morris, polling, sampling, uncertainty, Verasight

Synthetic sampling uses models to “survey” fake respondents. G. Elliott Morris and Verasight…
Job growth revised by -911,000

Statistics / Bureau of Labor Statistics, jobs, uncertainty

The Bureau of Labor Statistics revised job counts down by almost a million:…
Reliability of jobs data

Statistics / Bureau of Labor Statistics, New York Times, uncertainty

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released monthly jobs data, but after the firing…
When other countries shunned their data and statisticians

Statistics / government, New York Times, uncertainty

For the New York Times, Ben Casselman highlights the potential repercussions for shunning…
Commissioner of Labor Statistics fired, because labor statistics were not to president’s liking

Statistics / firing, government, jobs, NPR, uncertainty

The administration disagreed with the jobs count released by the Bureau of Labor…
Misidentified by facial recognition and arrested

Mistaken Data / Action News Jax, crime, ethics, facial recognition, uncertainty

In Jacksonville, Florida, police arrested a man because AI facial recognition classified his…
FEMA flood risk vs. more comprehensive estimates for Camp Mystic

Statistics / Camp Mystic, FEMA, flood, NPR, risk, uncertainty

Risk estimates change by statistical model and what that model accounts for. The…
Illustrated guide to card counting and investing

Infographics / blackjack, Bloomberg, Boaz Weinstein, comic, uncertainty

The internet continues to feed my compulsion to click on anything that mentions…
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Partial Data Reflections

The Process / government, uncertainty

This week, I have a new tutorial for you and then we get into using data with baggage.
Probability does not exist

Statistics / David Spiegelhalter, probability, uncertainty

Probability itself is an expression of uncertainty, but the calculations behind the percentages…
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Random Everyday Walk

The Process / random, uncertainty

This week we talk randomness in the everyday.
50/50 Spins

Data Underload / chance, probability, uncertainty

For no particular reason on this particular day, here are spinners to try your hand at random everyday things with even odds. Good luck.
Presidential election still a toss-up

Statistics / election, Nate Silver, probability, uncertainty

You’re probably going to see election forecasts more this month, and one candidate…
Election of random chance

Statistics / election, gambling, New Yorker, random, uncertainty

For The New Yorker, Jay Caspian Kang relates the election’s unwavering randomness to…
Hurricane Watch

The Process / hurricane, possibilities, uncertainty

Given the topic and situation in Florida, I’m making this issue public. Hurricane Milton is en route.
Hurricane Milton potential threats

Maps / Bloomberg, flood, hurricane, uncertainty

Hurricane Milton continues towards Florida, estimated to make landfall on October 9, 2024…
Statistical challenges of measuring immigration

Statistics / estimation, immigration, Jed Kolko, Slow Boring, uncertainty

Jed Kolko, the former Under Secretary of Commerce for Economic Affairs of the…
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Mapping Course Updates; When the Data Speaks But Doesn’t Have Much to Say

The Process / missing, uncertainty

It’s easy to look at data and assume truthiness. Numbers! Facts! Concreteness! A lot of the time that’s just not the case.
Uncertain risk behind climate change models

Maps / Bloomberg, climate change, risk, uncertainty

To demonstrate the level of uncertainty in using climate forecasting models, Bloomberg compared…
Two kinds of bar charts

Statistical Visualization / aggregate, counting, Michael Correll, uncertainty

Michael Correll describes two kinds of bar charts in the world. The first…

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