prediction

For FiveThirtyEight, Simran Parwani and Kaleigh Rogers compared Groundhog Day predictions against actual…

A few years ago, The New York Times asked readers to guess a…

LeBron James decides where he takes his talents this summer, and the sports…

False positives. Over-policing. Bias. This isn’t stuff you just mess around with.

Predictive policing seems to be playing a bigger role in court decisions these…

Forget temperature and rain weather forecasts. I want to know when the sunset…

Predictions for how NBA players will contribute to their teams, based on their own performance and history.

In 2014, five people died in New Orleans in a house fire. Three…

Todd Schneider likes trivia, and he plays in an online league called LearnedLeague.…

By way of Rafa Irizarry from Simply Statistics, a plot of Nate Silver’s…

Political analyst and statistician Nate Silver has gotten some flack lately for consistently…

Tarot cards don’t cut it anymore as a predictors. We turn to data…

Christopher Beam for Slate explains research being done at UCLA in collaboration with…