Randal Heeb convinced a New York City judge that poker isn’t a game of luck, using a 120-page report full of analysis and charts.
Judge Weinstein, relying on the research of Randal Heeb – an economist, statistician and poker player – found that while luck determines what cards a player gets, skill plays the bigger role in a player’s ultimate success. With such charts as “Win-Rate Comparison: King Nine Offsuit,’ the 91-year-old judge delved into the complexities of the argument more thoroughly than any past court has. John Pappas was pleased with the result, and impressed with the methodology.
The king nine offsuit chart he refers to is above. Simulated earnings for better players are shown on the left in blue, and earnings for not so good players are shown on the right. Although both groups are likely to lose with the hand, skill appears to decrease expected losses.
Check out the full report here [pdf].