Election forecast tracker

Posted to Statistics  |  Tags: ,  |  Nathan Yau

FiveThirtyEight published their election forecast tracker this week, and it’s a beaut. It starts with the standard state map and most importantly the probability of each candidate winning the presidency. But after that, you can look into much detail on a state-by-state basis.

They currently give Hillary Clinton a 79 percent chance of winning and Donald Trump a 21 percent chance. I think many interpret this as Clinton is practically a lock, but it’s actually far from it. That 21 percent is freakin’ high.

As much as I want to forget, let’s remember that the Cleveland Cavaliers only had an 11 percent chance of winning the title, and I think we know what happened there.

In any case, check out the tracker. I like it. And find more details on where the numbers come from in the user’s guide.

Favorites

The Most Unisex Names in US History

Moving on from the most trendy names in US history, let’s look at the most unisex ones. Some names have …

Where Bars Outnumber Grocery Stores

A closer look at the age old question of where there are more bars than grocery stores, and vice versa.

Think Like a Statistician – Without the Math

I call myself a statistician, because, well, I’m a statistics graduate student. However, the most important things I’ve learned are less formal, but have proven extremely useful when working/playing with data.

Jobs Charted by State and Salary

Jobs and pay can vary a lot depending on where you live, based on 2013 data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Here’s an interactive to look.