Every NBA team’s chances of winning, by game minute

Michael Beuoy made a win probability model for NBA teams and games, based on play-by-play data from 2000 to 2012. The basic calculator lets you punch in the game state, such as time left and the score difference, and it spits out the probability of a win.

Or, for a team-centric view, you can see the chart from Beuoy and Allison McCann for FiveThirtyEight, which plots the average probability using the same model. Steady rise means a steady pull towards a win, whereas spikes and steeper, positive slopes mean a tendency towards scoring spurts.

Favorites

Who is Older and Younger than You

Here’s a chart to show you how long you have until you start to feel your age.

The Changing American Diet

See what we ate on an average day, for the past several decades.

Pizza Place Geography

Most of the major pizza chains are within a 5-mile …

Years You Have Left to Live, Probably

The individual data points of life are much less predictable than the average. Here’s a simulation that shows you how much time is left on the clock.