Bettings lines for becoming the next pope

March 5, 2013  |  Statistical Visualization

Probability of next pope

Who's going to be the next pope? I know all of you are sitting on the edge of your seats. Luckily, an analytical research manager who goes by the name AJ hacked together a pope tracker.

Despite not being Catholic, the papal election fascinates me. Not sure if it’s the old rituals, the world-wide interest, or simply the fact that the Catholic Church has left a huge mark on history.

There’s no way I know enough about the inner workings of the Catholic Church to have any idea on who the next Pope may be.

Since domain knowledge is out, the next best option?

Follow the money!

He's scraping odds of possible candidates becoming pope from a betting site, and the above shows the numbers over time. The odds were bumpy at first, but there seems to be some convergence, and as of this writing, Cardinal Peter Turkson from Ghana is the heavy favorite. [via Revolutions]

1 Comment

  • father fanatic March 9, 2013 at 8:42 pm

    I dreamed it wouod be Peter from Ghana. If so all hell will break loose. 2 blacks running the world. The perfect stage for antichrist & false prophet. Did Jesus reveal the name of Anti-Christ?s YouTube that question?

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