Japan fertility rate forecasts versus reality

It’s hard to predict the future, especially when humans are involved. Oftentimes, there are just too many variables to control for to estimate accurately. In the chart above from the Washington Post Wonkblog, Japan’s fertility rate is plotted against various forecasts over the years, and you see forecasts headed upwards, but in reality it decreased consistently since the 1970s. This is based on work from Katagiri, et al (pdf).

See also a similar porcupine chart from Amanda Cox in 2010 that compared US deficit against forecasts.


The Best Data Visualization Projects of 2011

I almost didn’t make a best-of list this year, but …

Famous Movie Quotes as Charts

In celebration of their 100-year anniversary, the American Film Institute …

10 Best Data Visualization Projects of 2017

It was a rough year, which brought about a lot of good work. Here are my favorite data visualization projects of the year.

Life expectancy changes

The data goes back to 1960 and up to the most current estimates for 2009. Each line represents a country.