# uncertainty

• ### Needle of uncertainty

The Upshot has used a needle to show shifts in their live election…

• ## Visualizing the Uncertainty in Data

Data is an abstraction, and it's impossible to encapsulate everything it represents in real life. So there is uncertainty. Here are ways to visualize the uncertainty.

• ### Trolling the uncertainty dial

During the election last year, The New York Times ran an uncertainty dial…

• ### Showing uncertainty during the live election forecast

During the election, The New York Times showed a live gauge to show…

• ### Statistics lesson on polling

Nate Cohn for the Upshot provides a statistics lesson in the context of…

• ## Income Increased

But not every group's median income increased by the same amount.

• ### Simulation shows why polls don’t always match future results

With election season in full swing, as far as the news is concerned…

• ### Super Tuesday simulation to show uncertainty

As we know, there are various outcomes during election season, with uncertainty in…

• ### Wind prediction and potential power

As we use up current energy resources, it grows more important to look…

• ### An uncertain spreadsheet for estimates

A lot of data you get are estimates with uncertainty attached. Plus or…

• ### Lessons in statistical significance, uncertainty, and their role in science

Science is hard. Statistics is hard. Proving cause and effect is hard.

• ### Criminal sentencing and a stat lesson on probabilities and uncertainty

Pennsylvania is considering the use of risk assessment — the chances that someone…

• ### Prostitution, GDP, and £1.7 billion due

David Spiegelhalter, professor of public understanding of risk, does some back-of-the-napkin math to…

• ### How well we don’t understand probability

All Things Considered on NPR ran a fine series on how we interpret…

• ### Uncertain cartographies

Most people know the layout of their neighborhoods and some are good with…

• ### Visualizing uncertainty still unsolved problem

Vivien Marx in Nature Methods: Data from an experiment may appear rock solid.…