You're going to see probability values mentioned a lot these next few months. Many people will misinterpret. But not you.
probability

What That Election Probability Means

Nearly impossible to predict mass shootings with current data
Even if there were a statistical model that predicted a mass shooter with 99 percent accuracy, that still leaves a lot of false positives. And when you’re dealing with individuals…

What probability means in different fields
Statistically, probability ranges from 0 to 1 — impossible to definitely without a doubt. Math with Bad Drawings characterized what those values mean in various fields of expertise. This amuses…

The Price is Right winner and cancer survivor calculates the odds
Elisa Long, a professor in Decisions, Operations, and Technology Management at the University of California, Los Angeles, was diagnosed with breast cancer. The Price is Right films a breast cancer…

How well we don’t understand probability
All Things Considered on NPR ran a fine series on how we interpret probability and uncertainty. It came in five bits (plus one followup), each five to ten minutes long.…

A visual explanation of conditional probability
Victor Powell, who has visualized the Central Limit Theorem and Simpson’s Paradox, most recently provided a visual explainer for conditional probability. Two bars, one blue and one red, represent two…