Bayesian fantasy football 101

Posted to Statistics  |  Tags: ,  |  Nathan Yau

There’s a small site dedicated to Bayesian-informed fantasy football decisions, because of course there is. Here’s the 101 intro.

Here’s the crux of thinking probabilistically about fantasy football: for any given week, when you start a player you’re picking out one of these little x’s at random. Each x is equally likely to get picked. Each score, however, is not. There are a lot more x’s between 0-10 points than there are between 20 and 30.

Favorites

Real Chart Rules to Follow

There are rules—usually for specific chart types meant to be read in a specific way—that you shouldn’t break. When they are, everyone loses. This is that small handful.

A Day in the Life of Americans

I wanted to see how daily patterns emerge at the individual level and how a person’s entire day plays out. So I simulated 1,000 of them.

Where People Run in Major Cities

There are many exercise apps that allow you to keep …

Marrying Age

People get married at various ages, but there are definite trends that vary across demographic groups. What do these trends look like?